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Posted on 2004-02-10 19:35:07 by Betwatch
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Topic: Africa Special: African Nations Cup 2004 > SEMI FINALS
Who will win the cup - update
Before the semi finals - Who are the favorites now?
What is better than to ask the real experts of the game, the ones that risk their existance to earn money with predicting: the sportsbook services
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Since begin of the Nations Cup we have been monitoring the odds with sportsbook companies and derived the probabilities assessed for each team to win the cup
We have compared these figures with the probabilities assessed by the-shot.com but have found little divergence.
Here now are the figures before the semi finals
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odds before |
odds after 1st match |
odds after 2nd match |
odds before qf |
odds before sf |
| Tunisia |
6.5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
| Rwanda |
251 |
251 |
251 |
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| Congo DR |
41 |
101 |
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| Guinea |
34 |
34 |
34 |
21 |
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| Cameroon |
3.75 |
4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
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| Egypt |
13 |
11 |
21 |
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| Algeria |
34 |
21 |
21 |
17 |
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| Zimbabwe |
81 |
126 |
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| Senegal |
4.5 |
6 |
5 |
6.5 |
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| Mali |
26 |
13 |
8 |
6.5 |
5 |
| Burkina Faso |
51 |
51 |
251 |
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| Kenya |
101 |
101 |
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| Morocco |
11 |
7 |
7.5 |
6 |
3.5 |
| Nigeria |
5 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
3.25 |
| Benin |
251 |
401 |
251 |
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| South Africa |
13 |
13 |
34 |
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Here now are the figures for the development of probabilities before the quarter finals
|
sportsbook |
sportsbook |
sportsbook |
sportsbook |
sportsbook |
the-shot.com |
the-shot.com |
the-shot.com |
the-shot.com |
the-shot.com |
|
before |
after 1st match |
after 2nd match |
before qf |
before sf |
before |
after 1st match |
after 2nd match |
before qf |
before sf |
| Tunisia |
12.2% |
15.6% |
15.7% |
16.2% |
29.6% |
11.5 |
12.5 |
13.5 |
12.5 |
29.1 |
| Rwanda |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
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0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
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| Congo DR |
1.9% |
0.8% |
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3.3 |
1.8 |
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| Guinea |
2.3% |
2.3% |
2.3% |
3.9% |
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2.5 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
8.6 |
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| Cameroon |
21.2% |
19.6% |
22.4% |
23.2% |
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21.6 |
21.1 |
20.5 |
22.7 |
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| Egypt |
6.1% |
7.1% |
3.7% |
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7.4 |
9.7 |
3.9 |
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| Algeria |
2.3% |
3.7% |
3.7% |
4.8% |
|
1.8 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
5.9 |
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| Zimbabwe |
1.0% |
0.6% |
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0.7 |
0.2 |
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| Senegal |
17.7% |
13.0% |
15.7% |
12.5% |
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14.3 |
14.0 |
14.6 |
14.3 |
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| Mali |
3.1% |
6.0% |
9.8% |
12.5% |
17.8% |
6.0 |
6.7 |
8.9 |
10.8 |
17.7 |
| Burkina Faso |
1.6% |
1.5% |
0.3% |
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1.6 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
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| Kenya |
0.8% |
0.8% |
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0.6 |
0.2 |
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| Morocco |
7.2% |
11.2% |
10.4% |
13.5% |
25.4% |
4.9 |
8.2 |
9.2 |
11.5 |
25.2 |
| Nigeria |
15.9% |
11.2% |
13.1% |
13.5% |
27.3% |
18.8 |
11.7 |
19.8 |
13.8 |
28.0 |
| Benin |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
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0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
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| South Africa |
6.1% |
6.0% |
2.3% |
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4.0 |
5.7 |
0.6 |
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